Overfitting occurs when a model captures sample-specific noise in addition to genuine patterns. Its training performance is strong, but its generalization performance is weak.
Correct Answer: D. Choosing parameter values so a model represents observed data according to a criterion
Explanation:
Model fitting estimates parameters by optimizing a measure such as error or likelihood using observed data. The fitted model can then be evaluated or used for prediction.
Correct Answer: A. How compatible observed data are with different parameter values
Explanation:
The likelihood treats the observed data as fixed and compares how strongly parameter choices support those data. Model fitting often selects parameters that maximize this quantity.
Bayes’ theorem combines a prior probability with evidence represented by the test result. It produces the posterior probability of disease after observing the evidence.
Correct Answer: D. Knowing that B occurred does not change the probability of A
Explanation:
Independence means P(A|B) equals P(A), assuming B has positive probability. Information about one event therefore provides no probability update for the other.
Correct Answer: B. It is expressed in the same units as the original variable
Explanation:
Standard deviation is the square root of variance, returning the measure to the variable’s original units. Variance is expressed in squared units, which are often less intuitive.
Correct Answer: A. Its long-run probability-weighted average
Explanation:
Expected value weights each possible outcome by its probability and sums the results. Across many repetitions, the average outcome tends toward this value under suitable conditions.
Correct Answer: D. A probability density assigns area to intervals, while a single point has zero probability in a continuous model
Explanation:
In a continuous distribution, probability is represented by area under the density curve over a range. The area associated with one exact point is zero.
A probability mass function assigns probabilities to individual values of a discrete random variable. Counts such as 0, 1, or 2 defects take distinct possible values.